Rent growth blooms in spring

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rent growth blooms in spring NYC

Yardi Matrix reported that national average apartment rent was up $8 in March compared to the level of the month before at $1,721 per month. The national average year-over-year apartment asking rent growth was 0.9 percent in March, up 0.3 percentage points from the rate reported last month.

Rents in the “lifestyle” asset class, usually Class A properties, were down 0.4 percent year-over-year, while rents in “renter by necessity” (RBN) properties increased by 2.2 percent year-over-year. The chart, below, shows the history of the year-over-year rent growth rates for these two asset classes along with the difference between these rates.

rent growth by property class

The chart shows that the year-over-year rent growth rates for lifestyle properties continues to be depressed relative to that of RBN properties. This is possibly a consequence of most of the high level of new supply arriving in the lifestyle class.

The national average lease renewal rate was 64.8 percent in January, unchanged from the rate reported last month. New Jersey continued to be the leader in lease renewal rate with 82.6 percent of renters renewing, up 0.4 percentage points from last month. Philadelphia remained in second place with a lease renewal rate of 77.4 percent, down 0.3 percentage points from last month. Miami, Detroit, Columbus and Kansas City all had lease renewal rates of 69 percent or higher. At the low end of the spectrum, the lease renewal rate was only 53.5 percent in San Francisco and 57.6 percent in Los Angeles. However, while low, these rates are 3 percentage points or more higher than those reported for those metros last month.

Year-over-year rent growth for leases that were renewed was 4.6 percent in January, matching last month’s rate. Year-over-year renewal rent growth was as high as 9.5 percent in Boston and as low as -1.2 percent in Austin.

Yardi Matrix reported that U.S. average occupancy rate in February was unchanged from the level in last month’s report at 94.5 percent. Also as in last month’s report, the only one of the 30 metros on which Yardi Matrix reports which saw occupancy rise during the month was San Francisco, which eked out a gain of 0.1 percent.

Yardi Matrix also reported that single-family rental (SFR) rents rose $9 in March from the revised level of the month before to $2,144 per month. The year-over-year SFR rent growth rate fell from the level of the month before to 1.2 percent. Of the 34 metros tracked, 26 saw rents rise year-over-year.

The national occupancy rate for single-family rentals in February fell 0.1 percentage point from the revised level of the month before to 95.3 percent.

Tabulating the data

Yardi Matrix reports on other key rental market metrics in addition to rent growth. These include the average rent to income ratio, the rent growth rate for residents who renew their leases and the portion of residents who renew. The metro averages are included in the tables below, but the report also includes the rent to income ratios for both lifestyle and for RBN properties.

Of the Yardi Matrix 30 metros, the 10 with the largest annual apartment rent increases are listed in the table below, along with their annual percentage rent changes, overall rent to income ratio, rent growth for renewed leases and renewal rate for the month. The data on asking rent growth and rent-to-income ratios are for March. The other data are for January.

Metro YoY asking rent growth % Rent to income ratio % YoY renewal rent growth % Monthly lease renewal rate %
New York City 5.0 29.1 2.0 59.1
Columbus 4.5 27.6 5.9 69.1
Kansas City 3.7 25.4 7.6 69.0
Indianapolis 3.5 26.7 8.0 67.4
New Jersey 3.4 31.0 5.4 82.6
Chicago 3.1 29.4 4.0 65.2
Washington DC 2.8 34.1 4.6 60.8
Boston 2.6 29.7 6.9 65.4
Philadelphia 2.2 30.2 6.7 77.4
Twin Cities 2.0 28.0 1.6 62.8

Yardi Matrix reports most of its statistics for New Jersey for the state as-a-whole. However, it reports rent-to-income data for Northern New Jersey and for Central New Jersey as separate locales. The rent-to-income value for New Jersey listed above is the average of the Northern and Central values.

The major metros with the smallest year-over-year apartment rent growth as determined by Yardi Matrix are listed in the next table, below, along with the other data as in the table above.

Metro YoY asking rent growth % Rent to income ratio % YoY renewal rent growth % Monthly lease renewal rate %
Austin (5.9) 27.3 (1.5) 58.2
Atlanta (2.8) 29.1 3.7 64.3
Phoenix (2.6) 28.5 0.1 60.9
Nashville (2.4) 30.0 3.7 60.0
Portland (2.2) 31.2 4.2 62.4
Raleigh (2.2) 27.4 3.6 64.8
Orlando (2.0) 31.8 7.7 65.4
Dallas (1.6) 27.6 3.1 61.4
Charlotte (0.8) 28.4 5.5 64.0
San Francisco (0.7) 29.7 1.3 53.5

The top metros for month-over month rent growth in March were Columbus, Orlando, Seattle and Charlotte. The metros with the lowest month-over-month rent growth were Nashville, Houston, Baltimore and Austin.

SFR markets

Yardi Matrix reported on the top 34 metros for built-to-rent single family rentals. The leading metros for year-over-year rent growth were Boston, Raleigh, Orange County and Indianapolis. The trailing metros were Austin, Orlando, Phoenix and Tampa.

This month, 14 of the metros saw year-over-year occupancy increases. The metros with the largest year-over-year occupancy increases were Washington D.C., Houston, Tampa and Las Vegas. The metros with the greatest occupancy declines were Atlanta, Los Angeles, Nashville and San Antonio.

The complete Yardi Matrix report provides information on some of the smaller multifamily housing markets. It also has more information about the larger multifamily markets including numbers on job growth and on completions of new units. It can be found here.